Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000733 0.000837 0.000948 0.001074 0.001213 0.001360 0.001529
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000569 0.000714 0.000878 0.001077 0.001310 0.001571 0.001886
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000468 0.000627 0.000815 0.001053 0.001342 0.001678 0.002097
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000387 0.000551 0.000755 0.001021 0.001357 0.001760 0.002275
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000337 0.000506 0.000724 0.001019 0.001401 0.001871 0.002486
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000296 0.000468 0.000697 0.001017 0.001442 0.001978 0.002691
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000258 0.000429 0.000665 0.001004 0.001466 0.002059 0.002864
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000224 0.000392 0.000631 0.000984 0.001477 0.002122 0.003013
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000377 0.000627 0.001006 0.001543 0.002258 0.003258
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000191 0.000362 0.000622 0.001022 0.001602 0.002385 0.003493
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000168 0.000334 0.000594 0.001005 0.001612 0.002444 0.003639
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000148 0.000308 0.000567 0.000986 0.001616 0.002495 0.003772
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000134 0.000292 0.000554 0.000989 0.001655 0.002595 0.003979
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000279 0.000547 0.001000 0.001704 0.002712 0.004210
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000255 0.000519 0.000974 0.001697 0.002748 0.004328
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000232 0.000489 0.000946 0.001683 0.002771 0.004428
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000219 0.000476 0.000943 0.001709 0.002853 0.004611
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000207 0.000465 0.000941 0.001736 0.002936 0.004800
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000193 0.000448 0.000929 0.001746 0.002993 0.004949
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000179 0.000428 0.000911 0.001743 0.003030 0.005069
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000175 0.000430 0.000931 0.001804 0.003167 0.005339
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000171 0.000430 0.000946 0.001858 0.003293 0.005596
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000158 0.000412 0.000930 0.001858 0.003335 0.005726